What Are the Odds of Pocket Aces Getting Cracked?
All-in preflop against a single random caller, pocket aces get cracked about 14.54% of the time — they win roughly 84.91%. The more callers, the worse it gets: against eight random hands, aces lose more often than they win.
The odds
| Measured as | Probability | Odds | Per 100 hands |
|---|---|---|---|
| Aces cracked all-in vs 1 random callerheadline | 14.5% | 1 in 6.88 | 15 |
| Aces cracked all-in vs 3 random callers | 35.9% | 1 in 2.79 | 36 |
| Aces cracked all-in vs 8 random callers | 65.1% | 1 in 1.54 | 65 |
| Aces win all-in vs 1 random caller | 84.9% | 1 in 1.18 | — |
What we measured
"Cracked" means your pocket aces lose the pot after going all-in preflop. We report the chance aces lose (and win) all-in against one, three, or eight random calling hands, with the full five-card board run out. This is the exact complement of aces' equity, so no strategy assumptions are involved.
How it was calculated
Monte Carlo all-in equity with the site's evaluator (3,000,000 trials per matchup), full boards dealt and hands compared at showdown.
Computed 2026-07-12 using app/lib/poker-eval.js — the same 7-card evaluator behind /tools/odds-calculator. Want to test a specific matchup? Run it through the odds & equity calculator.
All-in preflop against a single random caller, pocket aces get cracked about 14.54% of the time — they win roughly 84.91%. The more callers, the worse it gets: against eight random hands, aces lose more often than they win.
https://pokerpro.tools/odds/aces-crackedDrop it in your poker chat, home-game thread, or the next bad-beat argument.
Frequently asked questions
How often do pocket aces get cracked?+
Heads-up all-in preflop against a random hand, aces are cracked about 14.54% of the time and hold up about 84.91%. That roughly 1-in-7 loss rate is exactly why aces feel like they "never hold."
Do aces get cracked more in multiway pots?+
Yes, sharply. Against three random callers aces are cracked about 35.91% of the time, and against eight all-in opponents they are cracked about 65.09% — they are no longer favourite against that many hands.
Are aces still the best starting hand?+
Absolutely. Aces are the biggest preflop favourite in Hold'em heads-up; getting cracked 15% of the time is simply variance, not a flaw in the hand. Over a large sample, aces are hugely profitable.