Ultra-rare

What Are the Odds of Flopping a Royal Flush?

1 in 649,7400.00015%

Flopping a royal flush is famously about 1 in 649,740 — you have to be dealt two of the five royal cards in a suit and then flop the exact other three.

The odds

Measured asProbabilityOddsPer 100 hands
You flop a royal flushheadline0.00015%1 in 649,740
Someone at a 9-handed table flops one0.0014%1 in 72,193
Someone at a 6-max table flops one0.00092%1 in 108,290

What we measured

Flopping a royal flush means holding a five-card royal flush (10-J-Q-K-A of one suit) right on the flop. That requires being dealt two of those five cards suited and flopping the other three — the whole royal is complete before the turn. The table figures show the chance any player flops a royal.

How it was calculated

Exact combinatorics: 40 qualifying two-card holdings out of C(52,2), each needing one exact 3-card flop out of C(50,3). Player events are mutually exclusive, so the table figures are exactly additive.

Computed 2026-07-12 using app/lib/poker-eval.js — the same 7-card evaluator behind /tools/odds-calculator. Want to test a specific matchup? Run it through the odds & equity calculator.

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Flopping a royal flush is famously about 1 in 649,740 — you have to be dealt two of the five royal cards in a suit and then flop the exact other three.

https://pokerpro.tools/odds/royal-flush-flop

Drop it in your poker chat, home-game thread, or the next bad-beat argument.

Frequently asked questions

What are the odds of flopping a royal flush?+

About 1 in 649,740. You must be dealt two of the five royal cards of a single suit (a 40-in-1,326 holding) and then flop the exact other three cards (1 in 19,600).

How often does anyone flop a royal at a full table?+

Because at most one player can flop a royal on any given board, the chances simply add up: about 1 in 72,193 deals at a 9-handed table and 1 in 108,290 at 6-max.

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