Variance

math

The natural ups and downs of poker results around your true win rate.

Even a strong winner can run badly for tens of thousands of hands. Standard deviation in NLHE cash is ~100 BB/100 — normal downswings of 20+ buy-ins.

Variance simulator

See also

Your statistical share of the pot, expressed as a winning probability.

The average profit/loss of a play over infinite repetitions.

Pot odds adjusted for expected future bets if you hit your draw.

Cards remaining in the deck that improve your hand to a winner.